Analysis and data
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The attached example analysis is structured to describe the content of the widest possible analysis. This example analysis also includes some training and education material and aspects.
Example analysis
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Case Swappie
A practical example analysis of one of the fastest growing companies in Finland and the Nordics, Swappie Oy. Analysis downloadable in pdf format on PC/Mac.
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Case
Jukkatalo
Is it possible to predict bankruptcy years before...? Learn about predicting a company's bankruptcy risk based on a real-life example! Document is downloadable in pdf format on PC/Mac.
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Case Genelec
According to numerous domestic and international studies, family-owned businesses are more successful and profitable than companies with other types of ownership structures. The example presented in this document also confirms the research results in practice. Analysis downloadable in pdf format on PC/Mac.
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Case
Apotti
The Apotti program was launched in 2012. The Company Oy Apotti Ab was born out of a shared will among the stakeholder municipalities and HUS Helsinki University Hospital to create the first electronic client and patient record and ERP system in the world combining both health and social care.
The purpose of the Company is not to generate profit for the shareholders, and it does not distribute any dividends. The accompanying analysis describes the correlation between the non-profit company's financial results and cash flow. If the company doesn't make a profit, what happens to the cash flow? Since the project in question is also publicly funded, the example also reflects the use of public funds from the perspective of its entity (legal limited company).
Document is downloadable in pdf format on PC/Mac.
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Case Swappie Revisited - Carefully implemented Business modeling improves forecasting accuracy
Swappie Group (later Swappie) was selected as the Target Company for this example report. Argon Pro carried out the first Swappie analysis and valuation about a year ago in November 2023.
As presented in a Report about a year ago, Swappie's financial position has been quite challenging. This report follows the actual financial results and achievements for the financial year 2023. This report is also a follow-up report presenting how well the forecast for 2023, prepared by Argon Pro, "hit" the actual achievements. This report describes in particular the benefits of carefully implemented business modeling.
Swappie's financial forecasting and its accuracy for 2023 demonstrate that carefully executed business modeling can yield highly precise results, even with only public data and well-grounded assumptions. Key points include:
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Swappie's free cash flow for 2023 differed by only 1 % from the forecast prepared by Argon Pro, based on a projected Revenue level of approximately €210 million. This highlights the ability to present forecasts with high realism.
Conclusion: The 2023 forecasting accuracy showed that a well-designed cash flow-based business model can be invaluable tool for business planning and decision-making. However, accurate forecasting alone cannot solve a company's challenges - it also requires proactive measures to improve outcomes.
This report is downloadable in pdf format on PC/Mac.
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